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Wheat futures hit a one-week high on renewed concerns over dry weather in Russia, the world's biggest wheat supplier. In Argentina, corn stunt disease spread by leaf-cutter insects and adverse weather prompted the Buenos Aires grains exchange to slash its estimate for Argentina's 2023/24 corn harvest by 3 millions metric tons to 46.5 tons. In wheat, Russia's IKAR agricultural consultancy cut its forecast for the country's crop to 91 million metric tons from 93 million tons and its wheat exports to 50.5 million metric tons from 52 million tons. Wheat futures jumped as weather forecasts showed the region getting virtually no rain in the coming two weeks. Managed money funds held a net short position in CBOT wheat futures at the beginning of 2024 because of a strong dollar and slow U.S. demand, Zuzolo said.
Persons: Jim Niewold, Susan Stroud, Mike Zuzolo, Nature, Zuzolo Organizations: Chicago Board of Trade, Global, Analytics Locations: Loda , Illinois, Brazil, Russia, Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul, Argentina, Buenos Aires, South America
Black Sea wheat war is sideshow for grain deal
  + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Pierre Briancon | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
LONDON, Aug 9 (Reuters Breakingviews) - A fast-escalating wheat war in the Black Sea may have a silver lining. The Turkey-brokered accord had allowed Kyiv, the world’s fifth largest wheat producer, to export food via Odesa across the Black Sea. As a result, global wheat prices on the Chicago Board of Trade declined by nearly 40% between October and May. Reuters GraphicsNervousness around the unravelling of last year’s grain deal triggered short-lived spikes of 17% to 20% in wheat prices. Both Moscow and Kyiv know by now that protecting their vital grain exports is in both countries’ interest.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Putin, Antony Blinken, ” Blinken, Tayyip Erdogan, Russia ”, Lisa Jucca, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Agriculture, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Chicago Board of Trade, NATO, SWIFT, Russia’s Defence, Security, Thomson Locations: Novorossiysk, Ukraine, Izmail, The Turkey, Kyiv, Russia, Romania, Moscow, United States, Europe, Russian, Ukrainian
Pope Francis called on Russia to restore the Black Sea grain deal Sunday. “I appeal to my brothers, the authorities of the Russian Federation, so that the Black Sea initiative may be resumed and grain may be transported safely,” Francis said. "I appeal to my brothers, the authorities of the Russian Federation, so that the Black Sea initiative may be resumed and grain may be transported safely," Francis said during his weekly Angelus message, delivered to Roman Catholics worldwide. Benchmark wheat prices had their biggest one-day jump in over a decade the week Russia pulled out of the Black Sea grain deal, a United Nations-brokered agreement that had allowed Ukraine to export grains and oilseeds through a safe shipping corridor for the past year. As well as Pope Francis, top policymakers from the UN and European Union have warned that Russia's latest economic assault on the West will make it much more expensive for poorer countries to import grain.
Persons: Pope Francis, Moscow, ” Francis, Francis, Angelus, Pope, António Guterres, Josep Borrell Organizations: UN, Russian Federation, Service, United Nations, Chicago Board of Trade, Kremlin, European Union Locations: Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Moscow
CNBC Daily Open: Tech stocks were battered
  + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Elon Musk, CEO, CTO, founderElon Musk is CEO of Tesla and SpaceX; CTO of Twitter; founder of Neuralink, The Boring Company and now xAI. Tesla may have reported record revenue for its second quarter and beaten Wall Street's expectations for both profit and revenue. But Wall Street isn't completely cheering the electric vehicle maker because of its shrinking margins.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Elon Musk, Timothy Ash Organizations: CNBC, Dow outperforms, Netflix, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, SpaceX, Twitter, The Boring Company, Chicago Board of Trade, Initiative, Agriculture, BlueBay Asset Management, Tesla Locations: Dow outperforms U.S
Known as the world's "bread basket," Ukraine grows far more wheat than it consumes and it's exports contribute to global food security, especially in African countries, which now fear food shortages. Wheat prices rose on Thursday after Russia threatened to treat ships heading for Ukrainian ports as military cargo carriers, deepening fears of a global food security crisis. It follows a jump of 8.5% in the previous session, the biggest daily gain in more than a year, on mounting geopolitical tensions. Wheat prices remain well below the peak levels of 1,177.5 cents per bushel reached in May of last year, however. European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said Thursday that Russia's decision to pull out of the pact would imperil global food security.
Persons: António Guterres, Josep Borrell, Borrell Organizations: Chicago Board of Trade, Initiative, Union Locations: Ukraine, Russia, EU
London CNN —Wheat and corn prices on global commodities markets jumped Monday after Russia pulled out of a crucial deal allowing the export of grain from Ukraine. The collapse of the pact threatens to push up food prices for consumers worldwide and tip millions into hunger. The White House said the deal had been “critical” to bringing down food prices around the globe, which spiked after Russia invaded Ukraine in February last year. Food pricesThe global food price index complied by the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization hit an all-time high in March 2022, but has fallen steadily since then. “A renewed rise in agricultural commodity prices would obviously push up retail food prices but perhaps not by as much as you think, particularly in developed economies,” she said.
Persons: , ” Adam Hodge, , Vladimir Putin, General Antonio Guterres, Shashwat, ” Saraf, Richer, Caroline Bain, , Rob Picheta, Hanna Ziady, Mick Krever, Anna Chernova, Priscilla Alvarez Organizations: London CNN —, US National Security Council, Chicago Board of Trade, United Nations, Organisation for Economic Co, Development, Gro Intelligence, Food Security Information Network, European Union, Rescue, East, Agriculture Organization, Capital Economics, CNN Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, Istanbul, Kyiv, Moscow, United States, Sevastopol, Russian, Crimea, East Africa, East, Africa
The fallout is a rare chink in Lopez Obrador's formidable popularity, steadily above 60% throughout his term. The pricing issue is urgent as northern corn farmers are harvesting now, many with nowhere to sell without taking a loss. It is not the first time that tensions have heated up between this administration and the agriculture sector. Valdez estimated that commercial agriculture producers represent about 10 million votes. Farmers argue Lopez Obrador's government has eliminated important sector benefits, including loans at beneficial interest rates, which his administration says too often fell into arrears.
Persons: Edgard Garrido, Andres Manuel Lopez, Lopez, Lopez Obrador's, Bosco, la Vega, Lopez Obrador, Claudia Sheinbaum, Marcelo Ebrard, Adan Augusto, Baltazar Valdez, Valdez, Raul Urteaga, Urteaga, spokespeople, Luz Maria Mendoza, Cassandra Garrison, Stephen Eisenhammer, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, MEXICO CITY, U.S, Regeneration, Producers, Chicago Board of Trade, CNA, Farmers, North American Free Trade, United Farm Workers, Valdez, Global Agrotrade Advisors, Agriculture, Finance Ministry, FIRA, Thomson Locations: La Constitucion Totoltepec, Toluca , Mexico, MEXICO, Sinaloa, United States, U.S, Chihuahua, Mexico, Canada
"Much of the (Midwest) region did not see appreciable rainfall. As of June 20, 58% of the Midwest was in moderate drought or worse, the broadest area since 2012, the Drought Monitor data showed. 2 soybean producer in moderate drought or worse. In Illinois, the largest soy grower and second-largest corn producer, moderate drought or worse spanned 82% of the state. Conditions worsened across the eastern half of the High Plains, with 34% of the region in moderate drought or worse.
Persons: climatologists, Karl Plume, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S . Drought, Drought, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Chicago, of Trade, USDA, Weather, Thomson Locations: North Dakota, Kansas, U.S, Midwest, Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Southern Plains, Chicago
MEXICO CITY, June 14 (Reuters) - Dozens of flights at an international airport in the northern Mexican state of Sinaloa were suspended Wednesday as protests by farmers demanding guaranteed prices for grains ramped up a standoff with the government. Producers urge President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador to guarantee prices for corn, wheat and sorghum, saying government intervention is vital to counter a steep drop in international prices. Saying they had no response, a group of farmers marched to Culiacan airport and blocked the doors in videos shared on social media. In other videos, farmers entered government offices and tipped grain from bags onto the floor. Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha asked farmers to instead protest commodities trader Cargill (CARG.UL) and Mexican corn product makers Minsa and Gruma, implying they were responsible for lower prices.
Persons: Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Wheat, Ruben Rocha, " Rocha, Minsa, Cassandra Garrison, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Farmers, Chicago Board, Sinaloa, Cargill, Agriculture Ministry, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Mexican, Sinaloa, Culiacan, Phoenix , Arizona, Mexico
London CNN —Global wheat prices fell Thursday after Ukraine and Russia agreed to extend a deal allowing grain to be exported from Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea. “These agreements matter for global food security,” António Guterres, secretary general of the United Nations, told journalists Wednesday. “Ukrainian and Russian products feed the world.”The grain deal, first signed in July, was due to expire on Thursday, but Turkish and Ukrainian officials said on Wednesday that it would be extended for another two months. Ukraine and Russia together account for nearly a third of global wheat exports, according to Gro Intelligence, an agricultural data firm. In the days after the invasion, global wheat prices skyrocketed, with the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization warning that as many as 47 million people could be pushed into “acute food insecurity” because of the war.
Most international grain traders have stopped new investment in Russia since last year following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine but continued exporting Russian wheat. "As grain export-related challenges continue to mount, Cargill will stop elevating Russian grain for export in July 2023 after the completion of the 2022-2023 season," the company said in an emailed statement. "The cessation of its export activities on the Russian market will not affect the volume of domestic grain shipments abroad. The company's grain export assets will continue to operate regardless of who manages them," the agriculture ministry told Reuters. According to RBC business daily, Cargill will export 2.2 million tonnes of Russian grain in the 2022-23 exporting season, or around 4% of Russia's total grain exports.
The recent losses are far from records by magnitude, though the selling is the most extreme for new-crop beans in March since 2008. Over 28 sessions between April and May 2019, new-crop beans were lower in 22, a 79% losing rate. New-crop beans had been down in both June 2021 and July 2022 by around 13% within a 13-session span. The last comparable time was mid-March 2020, when RSI on new-crop beans remained below 17 for three consecutive sessions. CBOT November soybean futures with RSIKaren Braun is a market analyst for Reuters.
Talks underway on Black Sea grain deal extension in Geneva
  + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
GENEVA, March 13 (Reuters) - Negotiations began on Monday between U.N. officials and Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Vershinin on a possible extension to a deal allowing the safe export of grain from Ukraine's Black Sea ports, the Russian diplomatic mission in Geneva said. The deal, which was extended for 120 days in November, is up for renewal on March 18. Two sources involved with the talks said they were initially scheduled to last just one day but could be extended as needed. "Wheat and corn markets are weaker today as the talks start about extending the safe shipping agreement for Ukraine’s exports," said Matt Ammermann, StoneX commodity risk manager. "As such a large wheat and corn exporter, Ukraine’s supplies are vital to world markets."
The United States wanted to sell Mexico more yellow corn and Mexico declined, Lopez Obrador said in a regular news conference. "There is a market for it, but the government cannot make a purchase because we do not want GM," Lopez Obrador said, citing a lack of scientific investigation into its effects. Lopez Obrador did not specify who made the request to sell more corn, the amount of the requested sale or the time frame. Mexico is ready to halve its U.S. imports of yellow corn when the decree goes into effect and is considering direct agreements with farmers to secure non-GM yellow corn imports, the country's deputy agriculture minister said in October. Chicago Board of Trade corn futures fell on Wednesday after the news, with the benchmark December contract down 6 cents a bushel at a two-month low of $6.61-1/2 a bushel.
Summary Grain flowing out of Ukraine despite Russia ending shipping dealU.S. winter wheat suffers from drought - USDASoybeans rise, hopes of China buyingHAMBURG, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Chicago wheat and corn futures fell on Tuesday as grain shipments continued from Ukraine despite Russia suspending its participation in an export agreement for a safe shipping channel from Ukrainian ports. Soybeans rose on hopes of more U.S. export sales to China, while protests were eyed in Brazil - including road blocks - after the presidential election. Chicago Board of Trade most-active wheat was down 1% to $8.73-1/4 a bushel at 1138 GMT, while corn was down 0.3% to $6.89-1/4 a bushel. Markets surged on Monday after Russia suspended its involvement in an agreement allowing Ukraine to make grain and other food shipments in a safe Black Sea shipping corridor. “Wheat and corn are weakened today on expectations the safe shipping channel for Ukraine’s exports may not be ended but could continue in some form,” said Matt Ammermann, StoneX commodity risk manager.
Soybeans gained more ground, climbing to their highest in more than a month, while corn ticked lower. "While Russia pulled out of the export grain corridor deal from Ukraine, there was still grain flowing out of Ukraine," Hightower said in a report. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Monday that his country would continue exporting grain from its Black Sea ports because the shipments offered stability to world food markets. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) on Monday rated 28% of the U.S. winter wheat crop in good-to-excellent condition, the lowest for this time of year in records dating to 1987, underscoring the effects of persistent drought in the Plains wheat belt. Commodity funds were net buyers of CBOT wheat, soybean, corn, soyoil and soymeal futures contracts on Monday, traders said.
Soybeans and corn lost ground after closing higher on Monday with a rapid pace of U.S. harvest weighing on prices. * Losses in the wheat market were curbed by dryness hitting the U.S. winter crop. For corn, the harvest was 76% complete, ahead of the average analyst estimate of 75% and the five-year average of 64%. * Commodity funds were net buyers of CBOT wheat, soybean, corn, soyoil and soymeal futures contracts on Monday, traders said. DATA/EVENTS (GMT)0030 Japan JibunkBK Mfg PMI Final SA Oct0145 China Caixin Mfg PMI Final Oct0330 Australia RBA Cash Rate Nov0700 UK Nationwide house price MM, YY Oct0930 UK S&P GLBL/CIPS Mfg PMI Final Oct1345 US S&P Global Mfg PMI Final Oct1400 US ISM Manufacturing PMI OctU.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committeestarts its two-day meeting on interest ratesReporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Sherry Jacob-PhillipsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
CHICAGO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - U.S. wheat futures jumped 6%, hitting a two-week high, and corn rose 1.6% on Monday as Russia's withdrawal from a Black Sea export agreement raised concerns over global supplies. Chicago Board of Trade December wheat settled up 53 cents at $8.82-1/4 per bushel after reaching $8.93-1/4, the contract's highest since Oct. 14. CBOT December corn ended up 10-3/4 cents at $6.91-1/2 a bushel and January soybeans finished up 19-1/4 cents at $14.19-1/2 a bushel. Reuters GraphicsReuters Graphics"The grain and oilseed markets rose sharply overnight, led by wheat, as food shortage fears rise again after Russia pulls out of the Black Sea trade agreement," StoneX chief commodities economist Arlan Suderman said in a client note. Moscow suspended its participation in the Black Sea deal on Saturday in response to what it called a major Ukrainian drone attack on its fleet in Russia-annexed Crimea.
Summary Russia suspends participation in Black Sea grain exports dealWheat futures jump 5%, at highest since mid-Oct, corn up 2%Black Sea wheat, corn supplies at risk on Russia withdrawalU.N., Turkey, Ukraine press ahead with grain exportsSINGAPORE, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Chicago wheat futures jumped more than 5% on Monday and corn rose over 2% as Russia's withdrawal from a Black Sea export agreement raised concerns over global supplies. Wheat futures hit a record high of $13.64 a bushel in March. "This is an inflationary move, supporting prices of wheat and corn," said a Singapore-based trader. Moscow suspended its participation in the Black Sea deal on Saturday in response to what it called a major Ukrainian drone attack on its fleet in Russia-annexed Crimea. More than 9.5 million tonnes of corn, wheat, sunflower products, barley, rapeseed and soy have been exported from the Black Sea since July.
Summary Russia suspends participation in Black Sea grain exports dealBlack Sea wheat, corn supplies at risk on Russia withdrawalU.N., Turkey, Ukraine press ahead with grain exportsSINGAPORE, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Chicago wheat futures jumped more than 5% on Monday and corn rose over 2% as Russia's withdrawal from a Black Sea export agreement raised concerns over global grain supplies. "(The market) is going to be overwhelmed in early trade today by Russia suspending its participation in the Black Sea grain corridor during the weekend," said Tobin Gorey, director of agricultural strategy at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "Our view has been that wheat futures were adding little premium to prices for the risk that the corridor would close." Moscow suspended its participation in the Black Sea deal on Saturday in response to what it called a major Ukrainian drone attack on its fleet in Russia-annexed Crimea. Wheat futures hit a record high of $13.64 a bushel in March.
Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesGlobal wheat prices rose sharply Monday following Russia's withdrawal from the Black Sea grain export deal over the weekend. The increases come after Russia announced Saturday that it was suspending its involvement in the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which allowed vital agricultural products to be exported from several Ukrainian ports. Zelenskyy and Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba accused Russia of starting to sabotage the grain deal in September. Antonov told Russian media on Saturday that Kyiv's "reckless actions" had caused Moscow to suspend implementation of the grain deal. Many of the grain ships that left Ukraine in recent months, under the grain deal, were bound for both European and African ports.
Ukraine and Russia together account for nearly a third of global wheat exports, according to Gro Intelligence, an agricultural data firm. Russia suspended its participation in the grain deal indefinitely on Saturday, after what it claimed was a drone attack by Ukrainian armed forces on its Black Sea fleet in the Crimean city of Sevastopol. After reaching a record high in March, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization’s global food price index has declined for seven months in a row. Russia’s decision to suspend its participation “is adding immense volatility to global grain prices,” said Tracey Allen, an agricultural commodities strategist at JPMorgan Chase. Twelve vessels left Ukraine’s Black Sea ports on Monday, Ukraine’s Minister of Infrastructure Oleksandr Kubrakov said on Twitter.
Chicago’s LaSalle Street is best known as the historic home of the Chicago Board of Trade and most of the city’s largest banks and law firms. Chicago is offering financial help to developers willing to convert aging office towers into residential buildings, a new program that could become a test case for other cities looking to promote these office conversions. City officials said last week they would provide tens of millions of dollars in subsidies to revitalize the LaSalle Street corridor whose landmark office buildings made up the thriving center of Chicago business for decades. Since the pandemic, though, the strip’s mostly vacant streets and towers have come to symbolize the slow pace that employees have been returning to office buildings.
Russia's wheat harvest could hit a record 100 million tons this year, according to SovEcon. The country's wheat harvest could hit a record 100 million metric tons this year, according to SovEcon, a research firm focused on Black Sea grains and oilseeds. Russia is the world's top wheat exporter, accounting for about one-fifth of the world's wheat exports, according to US Department of Agriculture data. SovEcon's forecast is a 33% increase over the country's 75.2 million-ton wheat harvest last year, according to the USDA. The inter-government International Grain Council forecasts global wheat production at 792 million tons this year — which is more than its global consumption forecast of 785 million tons, according to the council's report released on Thursday.
[1/3] Cargo ship Despina V, carrying Ukrainian grain, is seen in the Black Sea off Kilyos near Istanbul, Turkey November 2, 2022. The agreement, reached in July, created a protected sea transit corridor and was designed to alleviate global food shortages, with Ukraine's customers including some of the world's poorest countries. So far, some 9.76 million tonnes of agricultural products have been shipped, predominately corn, but also volumes of soybeans, sunflower oil, sunflower meal and barley. A drop in shipments from major exporter Ukraine has played a role in this year's global food price crisis, but there are also other important drivers. At the start of the conflict there were around 2,000 seafarers from all over the world stranded in Ukrainian ports.
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